Nikas, A., Van de Ven, D.J., Forouli, A., Koasidis, K., Mittal, S., Giarola, S., Gambhir, A., Koberle, A.C., Chiodi, A., Cassetti, G., Gargiulo, M., Perdana, S.P., Vielle, M., Koutsellis, T., & Doukas, H. (2021). Investigating optimal allocation of green recovery funds in the EU. 2021 EU Conference on modelling for policy support: collaborating across disciplines to tackle key policy challenges, November 22-26, 2021, Online.
The pandemic had dramatic economic consequences in the EU: despite significant public interventions, more than 1.8 million jobs were lost between September 2019 and September 2020. As fiscal stimulus measures have been and continue to be announced, policymakers can ensure that the short-term stimulus points the economic recovery in a sustainable direction in the long term; in doing so, they must consider the trade-off between these goals.
Doukas, H. (2021). Transition Pathways to a low-carbon economy. 6th HAEE Energy Transition Symposium, September 28 - October 1, 2021, Athens, Greece.
Nikas, A., Skalidakis, S., Sorman, A., Galende-Sanchez, E., Koasidis, K., Serepas, F., Van de Ven, D.J., Moreno, J., Karamaneas, A., Koutsellis, T., Kanellou, E., & Doukas, H. (2021). Integrating Integrated Assessment Modelling in Support of the Paris Agreement: The I2AM PARIS Platform. 12th International Conference on Information, Intelligence, Systems and Applications, July 12-14, 2021, Chania, Greece.
Calls “to do science differently” and democratise the research process have proliferated in the last decades, especially in the context of climate science and policy support. This new arena demands more participatory procedures to expand the knowledge-making beyond researchers and experts. One way that science has started to interact with society has been the increasing number of online platforms that have emerged as alternative forums, providing the opportunity for engaging a variety of tools, models, results, and preferences.
Karamaneas, A., Campagnolo, L., Koasidis, K., Saulo, M., Tsipouridis, I., Gambhir, A., Van de Ven, D.J., Lengyel, Z., McWilliams, B., Nikas, A., Doukas, H. (2021). Interlinking climate action and sustainable development: a fuzzy linguistic group decision making framework. 31st European Conference on Operational Research, July 11-14, 2021, Athens, Greece.
The Paris Agreement and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development embody highly intertwined targets and guidelines to act for the climate crisis in conjunction with sustainability. Interlinking climate action and sustainable development is key to prioritising research and informing future mitigation analysis and policy. Here we seek to establish a methodology for implicitly eliciting stakeholders’ unbiased preferences, based on a fuzzy linguistic group decision making and consensus framework.
Kanellou, E., Koasidis, K., Daniil, V., Nikas, A., Doukas, H. (2021). A multiple-criteria evaluation framework for seaport sustainability considering non-homogeneous variables and uncertainty: the case of Piraeus, Greece. 31st European Conference on Operational Research, July 11-14, 2021, Athens, Greece.
The maritime industry is associated with high amounts of emissions produced. With shipping being excluded from the Paris Agreement, the International Maritime Organization has set a 50% CO2 emissions reduction target, although, a concrete pathway has yet to be established, with negotiations being in progress to set a roadmap for the sector after 2023. Seaports are critical in the sector’s sustainability. Infrastructural interventions not only reduce direct emissions from ports, but also enable the use of a more efficient fleet.
Koutsellis, T., Koasidis, K., Nikas, A., Doukas, H. (2021). Exploring the impact of analyst’s choices in fuzzy cognitive maps for climate policy applications. 31st European Conference on Operational Research, July 11-14, 2021, Athens, Greece.
Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) have recently gained ground in energy and climate policy applications, partly due to stakeholders encountering difficulties in understanding, or being excluded from, state-of-the-art policy support frameworks, like energy- and climate-economic modelling tools.
Nikas, A., Forouli, A., Van de Ven, D.J., Koasidis, K., Gambhir, A., Koutsellis, T., Doukas, H. (2021). Identifying optimal COVID-19 recovery packages: a robust IAM-portfolio analysis of renewable energy technological subsidisation. 31st European Conference on Operational Research, July 11-14, 2021, Athens, Greece.
The pandemic has had significant impacts on the European economy, with approximately 1.8 million EU citizens losing their jobs between September 2019 and September 2020. Towards facilitating a swift and sustainable recovery, the EU launched the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) to provide €672.5 billion of financial support to Member States in the coming years. In line with the European Green Deal and climate efforts, 37% of investments in national plans requesting RRF financing must focus on a “green” transition.
Van de Ven, D.J., Forouli, A., Koasidis, K., Gambhir, A., Koutsellis, T., Doukas, H., & Nikas, A. (2021). Allocation of European green COVID-19 recovery packages to mitigation emissions and create jobs in crisis years. XVI Conference of the Spanish Association for Energy Economics, June 29-30, 2021, Online.
To support member states’ economic recovery from the effects of COVID-19, the EU has mobilised financial resources as part of the long-term budget of 2021-2027 (European Commission, 2020a). Among the proposed recovery efforts, the EU launched the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) to provide €672.5 billion of financial support to Member States in the coming years (European Commission, 2020b).
Forouli, A., van de Ven, D. J., Koasidis, K., Nikas, A., Gambhir, A., Koutsellis, T., Karamaneas, A., & Doukas, H. (2021). Multi-Objective Evaluation of Renewable Technology Subsidy Portfolios from COVID-19 Recovery Packages. Energy, COVID, and Climate Change, 1st IAEE Online Conference, June 7-9, 2021, Online.
To support the green transition, national recovery and resilience plans should allocate at least 37% of investments towards battling climate change and be aligned with the updated target of the European Green Deal of 55 emissions reduction by 2030. This study aims to optimise the impact of the proposed fiscal program and the budget allocated towards the “green” transition in terms of jobs created in the energy sector and further reduction of GHG emissions.
De Miglio, R., Cassetti, G., & Yang, Xi (2020). The BRIDGE study: “Belt and Road Initiative and the Development of Green Economies” - Challenges and opportunities for a Green BRI. Current and Future Challenges to Energy Security, 5th AIEE Energy Symposium. December 15-17, 2020, Milan, Italy (& Online).
This study analyses the impact of China’s hydrogen economy on its border Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries under a regional long-term nearly-zero vision.
Nikas, A., Arsenopoulos, A., Doukas, H., & Romero, A. L. (2020). Prioritisation of risks associated with decarbonisation pathways for the Austrian iron and steel sector using 2-tuple TOPSIS. 14th International FLINS Conference. October, 2020.
Decarbonising emissions-heavy industrial sectors is key to delivering on the Paris Agreement. In Austria, the iron and steel sector holds a large share of the country’s greenhouse gas emissions and is in need of introduction of new technologies, orienting on green hydrogen and renewable energies.
Lahn, B., Hermansen, E. A. T., Sognnæs, I., & Peters, G. (2020). How do policymakers use climate mitigation scenario information? Joint Annual Meeting of the Society for Social Studies of Science (4S) and the European Association for the Study of Science and Technology (EASST), August 21, 2020, Prague, the Czech Republic.
The number of Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) and mitigation scenarios produced by IAMs have been steadily growing since the first IPCC assessment report, and scenarios have become increasingly influential in climate policy debates. Lots of scenarios are now produced that are compatible with the policy targets of the Paris Agreement. IAMs – developed at universities, research institutes, and government agencies – contribute with scenarios to the IPCC reports and the academic literature.
González-Eguino, M., & Van de Ven, D.J. (2019). Delivering on the Paris Agreement: A demand-driven, integrated assessment modelling approach. Fifteenth Congress of the Spanish Association of Energy Economics, January 30, 2020, Toledo, Spain.
Gargiulo M. (2019). The H2020 Project PARIS REINFORCE. 76th Semi-Annual ETSAP Meeting, December 11, 2019, Newcastle, Australia.
Doukas, H., & Nikas, A. (2020). PARIS REINFORCE and the I2AM PARIS platform. EMF 35: Japan Model Inter-Comparison Project (JMIP) on long-term climate policy. December 5, 2019, Tokyo, Japan.
Forouli, A., Nikas, A., van de Ven, D. J., Sampedro, J., & Doukas, H. (2019). Achieving sustainable development in Eastern Africa: a portfolio-based integrated assessment modelling analysis among different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium, December 2, 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
We introduce a two-level integration of integrated assessment modelling and portfolio analysis, in order to simulate technological subsidisation and climate policies with implications for multiple Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), across different socioeconomic trajectories and considering different levels of uncertainties.