Scientific publications
Yang, X., Gao, Y., Zhu, M., & Springer, C. (2022). Assessing Methane Emissions From the Natural Gas Industry: Reviewing the Case of China in a Comparative Framework. Current Climate Change Reports, 8, 115-124.
The aim of this paper is to explore methane emissions from China’s fossil fuel industry compared with the USA and Canada, with a focus on the methane emission mechanisms, calculation methods, mitigation potential, and abatement technologies. As a large methane-emitting country, China lags behind the USA and Canada in methane emission reduction. Therefore, Chinese scientists, policy makers, and entrepreneurs should pay attention to methane emissions.
Forouli, A., Pagonis, A., Nikas, A., Koasidis, K., Xexakis, G., Koutsellis, T., Petkidis, C., & Doukas, H. (2022). AUGMECON-Py: A Python framework for multi-objective linear optimisation under uncertainty. SoftwareX, 20, 101220.
Koutsellis, T., Nikas, A., Koasidis, K., Xexakis, G., Petkidis, C., Karamaneas, A., & Doukas, H. (2022). Normalising the Output of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps. In 2022 13th International Conference on Information, Intelligence, Systems & Applications (IISA) (pp. 1-7). IEEE.
Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) constitute a quasi-quantitative modelling tool with the inherent ability to reduce the computational and data complexity of a represented system, as well as engage experts in the process to introduce human cognition in terms of how a system behaves. However, despite being constructed with and for experts, aiming to assist them into better understanding system dynamics, the interpretation of the semi-quantitative outputs of FCMs has been found challenging.
Yang, X., Nielsen, C. P., Song, S., & McElroy, M. B. (2022). Breaking the hard-to-abate bottleneck in China’s path to carbon neutrality with clean hydrogen. Nature Energy, 7, 955-965.
Countries such as China are facing a bottleneck in their paths to carbon neutrality: abating emissions in heavy industries and heavy-duty transport. There are few in-depth studies of the prospective role for clean hydrogen in these ‘hard-to-abate’ (HTA) sectors. Here we carry out an integrated dynamic least-cost modelling analysis. Results show that, first, clean hydrogen can be both a major energy carrier and feedstock that can significantly reduce carbon emissions of heavy industry.
Perdana, S., & Vielle, M. (2022). Making the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism acceptable and climate friendly for least developed countries. Energy Policy, 170, 113245.
Implementation of CBAM to support EU climate neutrality by 2050 has raised several concerns. As the mechanism aims to minimise leakage through equal fairness in global mitigation, imposing carbon tariffs on the EU’s imports of energy-intensive goods could curtail the export of EU trading partners. This might be detrimental, especially to the LDCs, due to their high exposures and vulnerability risks. This paper assesses and quantifies the implication of EU-CBAM and analyses eight complementary measures to mitigate the impacts on LDCs.
van de Ven, D.-J., Nikas, A., Koasidis, K., Forouli, A., Cassetti, A., Chiodi, A., Gargiulo, M., Giarola, S., Köberle, A.C., Koutsellis, T., Mittal, S., Perdana, S., Vielle, M., Xexakis, G., Doukas, H., & Gambhir A. (2022). COVID-19 recovery packages can benefit climate targets and clean energy jobs, but scale of impacts and optimal investment portfolios differ among major economies. One Earth, 5(9), 1042-1054.
Grant, N., Gambhir, A., Mittal, S., Greig, C., & Köberle, A. C. (2022). Enhancing the realism of decarbonisation scenarios with practicable regional constraints on CO2 storage capacity. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 120, 103766.
Most low-carbon scenarios produced by integrated assessment models deploy substantial amounts of carbon capture and storage (CCS). These models generally assume that CO2 storage is a low-cost and globally ubiquitous resource. Here we challenge this assumption, introducing a CO2 storage potential which accounts for the financial, contractual, and institutional barriers to CO2 storage, which we term the investable potential.
Perdana, S., Schenckery, M., & Vielle, M. (2022). Impact d’un embargo sur les importations russes d’énergie en Europe. La Revue de l'Énergie, 663, 71-83.
We use the GEMINI-E3 computable general equilibrium model to assess the energy and economic impacts of the EU embargo on fossil energy imports from Russia over the period 2022 to 2030. We consider that import restrictions are being phased in to reach a total embargo in 2025, under the new EU climate policy target of "fit for 55". The additional import capacities of the other exporting countries for natural gas are calibrated on the basis of a technoeconomic study.
Karamaneas, A., Neofytou, H., Koasidis, K., Nikas, A., De Miglio, R., McWilliams, B., & Doukas, H. (2022). Prioritizing Climate Action and Sustainable Development in the Central Asia and Caspian Region. In: Wood, G., Onyango, V., Yenneti, K., Liakopoulou, M.A. (eds) The Palgrave Handbook of Zero Carbon Energy Systems and Energy Transitions. Palgrave Studies in Energy Transitions. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham.
The Central Asia and Caspian region is a geographical area facing the harsh effects of climate change, such as rapid temperature rise, water body desiccation, and biodiversity losses. Nevertheless, national climate policies in the region have not demonstrated the necessary ambition. A first glance primarily points to the abundance and exploitation of fossil fuels. Taking a closer look at the national and regional context, we identify a diversity of infrastructural, economic, and social challenges to the region’s sustainable development.
Allen, M. R., Friedlingstein, P., Girardin, C. A., Jenkins, S., Malhi, Y., Mitchell-Larson, E., ... & Rajamani, L. (2022). Net Zero: Science, Origins, and Implications. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 47.
This review explains the science behind the drive for global net zero emissions and why this is needed to halt the ongoing rise in global temperatures. We document how the concept of net zero carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions emerged from an earlier focus on stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations.